The latest modeling from the state of Michigan projects seven-day averages of new cases to continue declining throughout May to levels not seen since the lull between the December wave and the March surge.
The modeling — based on projections of previous cases, hospitalizations and deaths, and available data on mobility and vaccinations — was posted to the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services COVID-19 dashboard on Wednesday.
All regions are expected to see declines, with the region to which Isabella and Clare counties belong to remain at the highest across the state.
Among the data included in the report is that over the last week both new cases and positive diagnostic test results have decreased statewide. Hospitalizations are also down, and the last week has seen the first decrease in numbers of deaths for the last two months.
Three new deaths were reported across Isabella, Gratiot and Clare counties on Wednesday.
Two of those deaths were reported in Clare County, bringing its total to 76. No information was immediately available about those people.
An additional six cases were reported in Clare County, bringing its cumulative total to 1,984. According to the latest data from the state, two of Clare County’s cases have involved one of the variants of the original wild strain of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.
While the state data doesn’t identify which variant specifically, 70 percent of the state’s known variant cases involve the B.1.1.7 variant. It is believed to have originated in the United Kingdom.
The other death was reported in Isabella County, bringing its total to 85. No information was immediately available on the person who died.
An additional 21 cases were reported in Isabella County on Wednesday, bringing its cumulative total to 5,213. Two variants have been detected in Isabella County and are responsible for 13 known cases.
An additional six cases were reported in Gratiot County on Wednesday, bringing its cumulative total to 3,128, with 110 deaths.
Seven cases in Gratiot County have been identified as tied to two variants.
Four major variants have been detected in the state of Michigan. In addition to 70.8 percent of them being the B.1.1.7 variant; 3.7 percent are the B.1.427/B.1.429 variant, believed to have originated in California; 1.2 percent the P.1 variant, believed to have originated in Brazil; and 0.4 percent the B.1.351 variant, believed to have originated in South Africa.
Elsewhere in mid-Michigan, one new death was reported over the weekend, with new and cumulative cases and deaths as follows:
- In Gladwin County, one new death was reported for a total of 51, and an additional four cases were reported for a cumulative total of 1,866;
- In Mecosta County, an additional seven cases were reported for a cumulative total of 2,920, with 30 deaths;
- In Midland County, one new death was reported for a total of 80, and an additional 12 new cases for a cumulative total of 6,582; and,
- In Montcalm County, an additional 13 cases were reported for a cumulative total of 5,148, with 104 deaths.
Statewide, 17 new deaths were reported Wednesday for a total of 18,355 and another 2,171 cases were reported for a cumulative total of 869,512.
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